Friday, January 14, 2011

Cinderella Seahawks headed for midnight and loss of glass slipper in cold Bear Ballroom

Next round of NFL playoffs up Saturday and Sunday
 8 teams in match ups worth watching.

Arthur's predictatory betting line (whatever that is)

Saturday 1-15-2011
TV: 1:30 PM CBS
Baltimore 12-4 at Pittsburgh 12-4

Pertinencies:
Bet experts say Pittsburgh by 3 1/2
Steelers beat the Ravens 13-10 on Dec 5 in Baltimore

These are probably the two meanest teams in the NFL with reputations for tough and timely playoff performances.
Baltimore is 7-3 in road playoff games. Steelers are 18-8 at home, 5-3 since 2001.
Every time I pick against the Ravens they win. I am not a Steelers fan.
Ravens to win by 3 in a game where total points will be no more than 30.
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Saturday 1-15-2011 
TV: 5:00 PM FOX 
Green Bay 11-6 at Atlanta 13-3

Pertinencies:
Bet experts say Atlanta by 1 1/2


Falcons beat Packers Nov 28 at home 20-17

Green Bay has gotten better since the 28th despite losing to Detroit 3-7, the Packers pounded the Giants by 28 pts, defeated the Bears and lost a 27-31 game to mighty New England. Last week they beat the Eagles in Phillie.
Atlanta since 11/28 won three easy games (2 against Carolina and 1 against Seattle) by a combined 96-18. However the Falcons barely squeaked by Tampa Bay by 4 and lost to the Saints.
I have a bias in what looks like a tossup game.
If the Packer defense comes to play, Aaron Rogers will out duel Matt Ryan.
Packers 24-21
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Sunday 1-16-2011 
TV: 10:00 AM FOX 
Seattle 8-9 at Chicago 11-5

Pertinencies:
Bet experts say Chicago by 9 1/2

Seahawks surprised the Bears 23-20, Oct. 17, 2010 and last week took out the Saints at home.
Ain't no 12th man gonna help the Seahawks in the cold outdoor Chicago stadium.
Other than the 3-10 loss in Green Bay and a blowout loss at home against New England 7-36, the Bears have overpowered everyone else in the past month.
I'm still undecided on Pete Carroll's rah rah ways which reflect the hot-this-week-cold-next-week Seahawk pattern but the Hawks may be fired up enough to make this game competitive. If the defense can bother Cutler and limit Forte's running success they might win.
But I don't think so.
Bears 28 Packers 14
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Sunday 1-16-2011 
TV: 1:30 PM CBS 
NEW YORK JETS (12-5) At NEW ENGLAND (14-2)

Pertinencies:
Bet experts say New England by 8 1/2

Patriots beat Jets 45-3, Dec. 6 at home

I don't like picking against the Patriots who play at home for this game. 
In December the Jets beat Pittsburgh 22-17 but lost the following week to Chicago, giving up 38 points.
The Jets also smacked Buffalo but got smacked by New England and also lost in December to Miami 6-10.
Had to hang on against the Colts last week playing indoors to win barely by 17-16.

The Patriots over the five Sundays in December did the following:
Beat the Jets in a home game 45-3
Beat the Bears in Chicago 36-7
Beat Green Bay at home 31-27
Beat the Bills in Buffalo 34-3
Followed by a 38-7 home win over the Dolphins.

I'm not picking against the Pats

NE 35 NYJ 17







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